The relationship between climate change and political instability: the case of MENA countries (1985:01–2016:12)

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dc.contributor.authorSofuoğlu E.
dc.contributor.authorAy A.
dc.date.accessioned2020-03-26T20:20:58Z
dc.date.available2020-03-26T20:20:58Z
dc.date.issued2020
dc.departmentSelçuk Üniversitesien_US
dc.description.abstractThe aim of this study is to examine the relationship between climate change and political instability in the MENA region. To this extent, 18 Middle East and North African (MENA) countries are analyzed covering the period 1985:01–2016:12 with monthly data. In econometric analysis, at first cross-sectional dependency analysis is applied, and existence of cross-sectional dependency among countries is found. Therefore, CADF-second generation panel unit root test applied, and finally, Dumitrescu and Hurlin (2012) panel causality test that consider the cross-sectional dependency are utilized. For empirical analysis, temperature and precipitation data representing climate change, political instability, and conflict data are employed. According to the findings, there is a causal relationship from climate change to political instability in 16 countries and to conflict in 15 countries. In addition to this, at least one causal relationship is determined from climate change to political instability or conflict in all MENA countries. Therefore, empirical results support the assumption that climate change acts as a threat multiplier in MENA countries since it triggers, accelerates, and deepens the current instabilities. © 2020, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11356-020-07937-8en_US
dc.identifier.issn0944-1344en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-07937-8
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12395/38710
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherSpringeren_US
dc.relation.ispartofEnvironmental Science and Pollution Researchen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.selcuk20240510_oaigen_US
dc.subjectClimate changeen_US
dc.subjectConflicten_US
dc.subjectEnvironmental economicsen_US
dc.subjectMENAen_US
dc.subjectPanel causalityen_US
dc.subjectPolitical instabilityen_US
dc.titleThe relationship between climate change and political instability: the case of MENA countries (1985:01–2016:12)en_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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