Honey price estimation for the future in Turkey; example of 2019-2020

Basit Öğe Kaydı
dc.authorid0000-0001-5888-242X
dc.authorid0000-0003-4862-1706
dc.authorid0000-0002-4060-7048
dc.contributor.authorCevrimli, Mustafa Bahadir
dc.contributor.authorArikan, Mehmet Saltuk
dc.contributor.authorTekindal, Mustafa Agah
dc.date.accessioned2020-03-26T20:20:17Z
dc.date.available2020-03-26T20:20:17Z
dc.date.issued2020
dc.departmentSelçuk Üniversitesi, Veteriner Fakültesi, Zootekni ve Hayvan Besleme Bölümüen_US
dc.description.abstractThe purpose of the present study is to develop models for the time series data of honey prices in Turkey between 1998 and 2018 using Box-Jenkins and Winter's Exponential Smoothing methods and to evaluate the TRY- and US$-denominated forecasts made using such models for 2019-2020. The method employed to analyse the time series data is the Seasonal Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA). The most suitable model to forecast the honey prices was found to be SARIMA (2,1,2)(1,0, 1) for TRY-denominated prices and SARIMA (0,1,3)(0,0,0) for US$-denominated prices. It was forecast that the average price of 1 kg of honey would be 49.08 TRY/6.15 US$ at the end of 2020. Since the study will provide beekeepers with information on future prices, it will help them better plan their production activities. The price forecasts in this study will be useful for producers and those involved in sale of honey with respect to prediction of how the honey prices will change in the years to come.en_US
dc.identifier.citationÇevrimli, M. B., Arıkan, M. S., Tekindal, M. A. (2020). Honey Price Estimation for the Future in Turkey; Example of 2019-2020. Ankara Üniversitesi Veteriner Fakültesi Dergisi, 67(2), 143-152.
dc.identifier.doi10.33988/auvfd.570790en_US
dc.identifier.endpage152en_US
dc.identifier.issn1300-0861en_US
dc.identifier.issn1308-2817en_US
dc.identifier.issue2en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ3en_US
dc.identifier.startpage143en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://dx.doi.org/10.33988/auvfd.570790
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12395/38551
dc.identifier.volume67en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000518473700006en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ4en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.institutionauthorCevrimli, Mustafa Bahadir
dc.institutionauthorTekindal, Mustafa Agah
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherANKARA UNIV PRESSen_US
dc.relation.ispartofANKARA UNIVERSITESI VETERINER FAKULTESI DERGISIen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.selcuk20240510_oaigen_US
dc.subjectForecastingen_US
dc.subjecthoneyen_US
dc.subjecttime seriesen_US
dc.subjectTurkeyen_US
dc.titleHoney price estimation for the future in Turkey; example of 2019-2020en_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

Dosyalar

Orijinal paket
Listeleniyor 1 - 1 / 1
Küçük Resim
İsim:
Mustafa Bahadır ÇEVRİMLİ.pdf
Boyut:
664.31 KB
Biçim:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Açıklama:
Full Text Access
İndir

Koleksiyon

WoS İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu
Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu
Zootekni ve Hayvan Besleme/Makale Koleksiyonu