Long Term Electricity Demand Forecasting in Turkey Using Artificial Neural Networks

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Küçük Resim

Tarih

2010

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

TAYLOR & FRANCIS INC

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess

Özet

This article presents an approach for Turkey's long-term electricity demand forecasting. Two Artificial Neural Network structures, three-layered back-propagation and a recurrent neural network are designed and tested for this purpose. Predictions are done for the years 2008 to 2014. Since long-term forecasting is mainly influenced by economic factors, this study focuses on economic data. The proposed approach produces lower percent errors, especially in the recurrent neural network. The forecast results by artificial neural networks are also compared with official forecasts.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Artificial Neural Networks, Economic Factors, Load Forecasting, Turkey

Kaynak

Energy Sources Part B-economics Planning and Policy

WoS Q Değeri

Q3

Scopus Q Değeri

Q1

Cilt

5

Sayı

3

Künye

Çunkaş, M., Altun, A. A., (2010). Long Term Electricity Demand Forecasting in Turkey Using Artificial Neural Networks. Energy Sources Part B-economics Planning and Policy, 5(3), 279-289. Doi:10.1080/15567240802533542